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WEBVTT
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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to course six as zero,</v>
<v Speaker 1>nine,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>nine artificial general intelligence.</v>
<v Speaker 1>We will explore the nature of </v>
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<v Speaker 1>intelligence from as much as possible.</v>
<v Speaker 1>An engineering perspective.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>You will hear many voices.</v>
<v Speaker 1>My voice will be that of an engineer.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Our mission is to engineer intelligence.</v>
<v Speaker 1>The mit motto is mined in hand.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>What that means is we want to explore </v>
<v Speaker 1>the fundamental science of what makes an</v>
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<v Speaker 1>intelligent system,</v>
<v Speaker 1>the core concepts behind our </v>
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<v Speaker 1>understanding of what is intelligence,</v>
<v Speaker 1>but we always want to ground it in the </v>
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<v Speaker 1>creation of intelligence systems.</v>
<v Speaker 1>We always want to be in the now in today</v>
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<v Speaker 1>in understanding how today we can build </v>
<v Speaker 1>artificial intelligence systems that can</v>
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<v Speaker 1>make for a better world that is the core</v>
<v Speaker 1>for us here at Mit,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>first and foremost,</v>
<v Speaker 1>where scientists and engineers,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>our goal is to engineer intelligence.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>We want to provide with this approach a </v>
<v Speaker 1>balanced to the very important but </v>
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<v Speaker 1>overrepresented view of artificial </v>
<v Speaker 1>general intelligence.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>That black box reasoning view,</v>
<v Speaker 1>where the idea is,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>once we know how to create a human level</v>
<v Speaker 1>intelligence system,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>how will society be impacted?</v>
<v Speaker 1>Will robots take over and kill everyone?</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Will we achieve a utopia that will </v>
<v Speaker 1>remove the need to do any of the messy </v>
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<v Speaker 1>jobs that will make us all extremely </v>
<v Speaker 1>happy?</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Those kinds of beautiful philosophical </v>
<v Speaker 1>concepts are interesting to explore,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>but that's not what we're interested in </v>
<v Speaker 1>doing.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>I believe that from an engineering </v>
<v Speaker 1>perspective,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>we want to focus on the black box of </v>
<v Speaker 1>Agi,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>start to build insights and intuitions </v>
<v Speaker 1>about how we create systems that </v>
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<v Speaker 1>approach human level intelligence.</v>
<v Speaker 1>I believe we're very far away from </v>
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<v Speaker 1>creating anything resembling human level</v>
<v Speaker 1>intelligence.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>However,</v>
<v Speaker 1>the dimension of the metric behind the </v>
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<v Speaker 1>ward far may not be time in time,</v>
<v Speaker 1>perhaps through a few breakthroughs may </v>
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<v Speaker 1>be even one breakthrough.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Everything can change,</v>
<v Speaker 1>but as we stand now,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>our current methods as we will explore </v>
<v Speaker 1>from the various ideas and approaches </v>
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<v Speaker 1>and the guest speakers coming here,</v>
<v Speaker 1>uh,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>over the next two weeks and beyond,</v>
<v Speaker 1>our best understanding,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>our best intuition insights are not yet </v>
<v Speaker 1>at the level of reaching without a major</v>
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<v Speaker 1>leap and breakthrough and paradigm shift</v>
<v Speaker 1>towards human level intelligence.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>So it's not constructive to consider the</v>
<v Speaker 1>impact of artificial intelligence to </v>
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<v Speaker 1>consider questions of safety and ethics.</v>
<v Speaker 1>Fundamental,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>extremely important questions,</v>
<v Speaker 1>we it's not constructive to consider </v>
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<v Speaker 1>those questions without also deeply </v>
<v Speaker 1>considering the black box of the actual </v>
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<v Speaker 1>methods of artificial intelligence,</v>
<v Speaker 1>human level,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>artificial intelligence,</v>
<v Speaker 1>and that's what I see.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>What I hope this course can be,</v>
<v Speaker 1>its first iteration,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>it's first exploratory attempt to try to</v>
<v Speaker 1>look at different approaches of how we </v>
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<v Speaker 1>can engineer intelligence.</v>
<v Speaker 1>That's the role of mit is tradition of </v>
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<v Speaker 1>mine in hand is to consider the big </v>
<v Speaker 1>picture,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>the future impact of society 10,</v>
<v Speaker 1>20,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>30,</v>
<v Speaker 1>40 years out,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>but fundamentally grounded in what kind </v>
<v Speaker 1>of methods do we have today and what are</v>
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<v Speaker 1>the limitations and possibilities of </v>
<v Speaker 1>achieving that.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>The black box of Agi and in the future </v>
<v Speaker 1>impact on society of creating artificial</v>
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<v Speaker 1>intelligence systems that get become </v>
<v Speaker 1>increasingly more intelligent.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>The fundamental disagreement lies in the</v>
<v Speaker 1>fact the very core of that black box,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>which is how hard is it to build an Agi </v>
<v Speaker 1>system?</v>
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<v Speaker 1>How hard is it to create a human level </v>
<v Speaker 1>artificial intelligence system?</v>
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<v Speaker 1>That's the open question for all of us,</v>
<v Speaker 1>from,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>from Josh Tenenbaum to Andrea carpathy </v>
<v Speaker 1>to folks some open ai to Boston </v>
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<v Speaker 1>dynamics,</v>
<v Speaker 1>the brilliant leaders in various fields </v>
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<v Speaker 1>of artificial intelligence that will </v>
<v Speaker 1>come here.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>That's the open question.</v>
<v Speaker 1>How hard is.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>It has been a lot of incredibly </v>
<v Speaker 1>impressive results in deep learning in </v>
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<v Speaker 1>neuroscience and computational cognitive</v>
<v Speaker 1>science in robotics,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>but how far are we still to go to the </v>
<v Speaker 1>Agi?</v>
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<v Speaker 1>That's the fundamental question that we </v>
<v Speaker 1>need to explore before we consider the </v>
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<v Speaker 1>questions,</v>
<v Speaker 1>the future impact on society.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>And the goal for this class is to build </v>
<v Speaker 1>intuition.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>One,</v>
<v Speaker 1>talk at a time,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>a project at a time build intuition </v>
<v Speaker 1>about where we stand,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>about what the limitations of current </v>
<v Speaker 1>approaches are.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>How can we close the gap?</v>
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<v Speaker 1>A Nice meme that I caught on twitter </v>
<v Speaker 1>recently of a,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>the difference between the engineering </v>
<v Speaker 1>approach at the very simplest of a </v>
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<v Speaker 1>google intern typing a for loop that </v>
<v Speaker 1>just does a grid search on parameters </v>
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<v Speaker 1>for neural network.</v>
<v Speaker 1>Uh,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>and on the right is the way media would </v>
<v Speaker 1>report this for loop the Google ai </v>
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<v Speaker 1>created its own baby ai.</v>
<v Speaker 1>I think it's easy for us to go one way </v>
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<v Speaker 1>or the other,</v>
<v Speaker 1>but we'd like to do both.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Our first goal is to avoid the pitfalls </v>
<v Speaker 1>of black box thinking of the futurism </v>
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<v Speaker 1>thinking that results in hype,</v>
<v Speaker 1>that's detached from scientific </v>
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<v Speaker 1>engineering,</v>
<v Speaker 1>understanding of what the actual systems</v>
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<v Speaker 1>are doing.</v>
<v Speaker 1>That's what the media often reports.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>That's what some of our speakers will </v>
<v Speaker 1>explore in a rigorous way.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>It's still an important topic to </v>
<v Speaker 1>explore.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Ray Kurzweil on Wednesday.</v>
<v Speaker 1>We'll look at.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>We'll explore this topic next week </v>
<v Speaker 1>talking about Ai Safety and autonomous </v>
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<v Speaker 1>weapons systems.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>We'll explore this topic that future </v>
<v Speaker 1>impact 10,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>20 years out.</v>
<v Speaker 1>How do we design systems today that </v>
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<v Speaker 1>would lead to safe systems tomorrow.</v>
<v Speaker 1>Still very important,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>but the reality is a lot of us need to </v>
<v Speaker 1>put a lot more emphasis on the left,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>on the for loops,</v>
<v Speaker 1>on creating these systems at the same </v>
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<v Speaker 1>time.</v>
<v Speaker 1>The second goal of what we're trying to </v>
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<v Speaker 1>do here is not emphasize the silliness,</v>
<v Speaker 1>the simplicity,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>the naive basic nature of this four loop</v>
<v Speaker 1>and the same way as was the process in </v>
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<v Speaker 1>creating nuclear weapons before,</v>
<v Speaker 1>during World War Two.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>The idea that as an engineer,</v>
<v Speaker 1>as a scientist,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>that I am just the scientist is also a </v>
<v Speaker 1>flawed way of thinking.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>We have to consider the big picture </v>
<v Speaker 1>impact the near term negative </v>
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<v Speaker 1>consequences that are preventable,</v>
<v Speaker 1>the low hanging fruit,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>the that can be prevented through that </v>
<v Speaker 1>engineering process.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>We have to do both and in this </v>
<v Speaker 1>engineering approach we always have to </v>
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<v Speaker 1>be cautious that just because we don't </v>
<v Speaker 1>understand,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>we're just because we our intuition,</v>
<v Speaker 1>our best understanding of the </v>
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<v Speaker 1>capabilities of modern systems that </v>
<v Speaker 1>learn to act in this world seem limited,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>seem far from human level intelligence.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Our ability to learn and represent </v>
<v Speaker 1>common sense reasoning seems limited.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>The exponential potentially exponential.</v>
<v Speaker 1>It's could be argued and he will.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>A growth of technology of these ideas </v>
<v Speaker 1>means that just around the corner is a </v>
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<v Speaker 1>singularity is a breakthrough idea that </v>
<v Speaker 1>will change everything.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>We have to be cautious of that.</v>
<v Speaker 1>Moreover,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>we have to be cautious of the fact that </v>
<v Speaker 1>every decade over the past century,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>our adoption of new technologies has </v>
<v Speaker 1>gotten faster and faster.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>The rate at which a new technology from </v>
<v Speaker 1>its birth to its wide mass adoption has </v>
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<v Speaker 1>shortened and shortened and shortened.</v>
<v Speaker 1>That means that new idea,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>the moment it drops into the world can </v>
<v Speaker 1>have widespread effects overnight,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>so as an I think the in in the </v>
<v Speaker 1>engineering approach is fundamentally </v>
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<v Speaker 1>cynical on artificial general </v>
<v Speaker 1>intelligence because every aspect of it </v>
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<v Speaker 1>is so difficult.</v>
<v Speaker 1>We have to always remember that </v>
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<v Speaker 1>overnight.</v>
<v Speaker 1>Everything can change through this </v>
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<v Speaker 1>question of beginning to approach from a</v>
<v Speaker 1>deep learning perspective,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>from deeper enforcement learning from </v>
<v Speaker 1>brain simulation,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>complex cognitive science from </v>
<v Speaker 1>computational neuroscience,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>from cognitive architecture,</v>
<v Speaker 1>some robotics from a legal perspective </v>
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<v Speaker 1>and autonomous weapons systems.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>As we begin to approach these questions,</v>
<v Speaker 1>we need to start to build intuition.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>How far away are we from creating </v>
<v Speaker 1>intelligence systems?</v>
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<v Speaker 1>The singularity here is that spark,</v>
<v Speaker 1>that moment when we're truly surprised </v>
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<v Speaker 1>by the intelligence of the systems we </v>
<v Speaker 1>create.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>I'd like to visualize it by the,</v>
<v Speaker 1>by the certain analogy that we're in </v>
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<v Speaker 1>this dark room looking for a light </v>
<v Speaker 1>switch with no knowledge of where the </v>
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<v Speaker 1>lights,</v>
<v Speaker 1>which is.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>There's going to be people that say,</v>
<v Speaker 1>well,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>it's a small rooms are all small.</v>
<v Speaker 1>We're right there and say anywhere.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>We'll be able to find it anytime time.</v>
<v Speaker 1>The reality is we know very little so we</v>
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<v Speaker 1>have to stumble around,</v>
<v Speaker 1>feel our way around to build the </v>
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<v Speaker 1>intuition of far,</v>
<v Speaker 1>far away.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>We really are.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>And many will.</v>
<v Speaker 1>Speakers here,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>we'll talk about how we define </v>
<v Speaker 1>intelligence,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>how we can begin to see intelligence.</v>
<v Speaker 1>What are the fundamental impacts of </v>
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<v Speaker 1>creating intelligence systems?</v>
<v Speaker 1>I'd like to sort of see the positive </v>
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<v Speaker 1>reason for this little class and for </v>
<v Speaker 1>these efforts that have fascinated </v>
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<v Speaker 1>people throughout the century of trying </v>
<v Speaker 1>to create intelligence systems is that </v>
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<v Speaker 1>there is something about human beings </v>
<v Speaker 1>that want that craze to explore,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>to uncover the mysteries of the </v>
<v Speaker 1>universe.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Fundamental in itself,</v>
<v Speaker 1>a desire to uncover the mysteries of the</v>
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<v Speaker 1>universe,</v>
<v Speaker 1>not for a purpose,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>and there's often an underlying purpose </v>
<v Speaker 1>of money,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>of greed,</v>
<v Speaker 1>of,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>uh,</v>
<v Speaker 1>the,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>uh,</v>
<v Speaker 1>power craving for power and so on.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>But there's seems to be an underlying </v>
<v Speaker 1>desire to explore.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Nice little book,</v>
<v Speaker 1>an exploration,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>a very short introduction by Stewart </v>
<v Speaker 1>Weaver.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>He says,</v>
<v Speaker 1>for all the different forums that takes </v>
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<v Speaker 1>in different historical periods for for </v>
<v Speaker 1>all the worthy and unworthy motives that</v>
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<v Speaker 1>lie behind it.</v>
<v Speaker 1>Exploration travel for the sake of </v>
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<v Speaker 1>discovery and adventure is a human </v>
<v Speaker 1>compulsion,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>a human obsession even.</v>
<v Speaker 1>It is defining element of a distinctly </v>
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<v Speaker 1>human identity and it will never arrest </v>
<v Speaker 1>at any frontier,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>whether terrestrial or extraterrestrial.</v>
<v Speaker 1>From 325 BC.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>He with a long,</v>
<v Speaker 1>7,500</v>
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<v Speaker 1>mile journey</v>
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<v Speaker 1>on the ocean to explore the Arctic,</v>
<v Speaker 1>to Christopher Columbus and his flawed </v>
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<v Speaker 1>harshly criticize the modern </v>
<v Speaker 1>scholarshipped trip that ultimately pave</v>
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<v Speaker 1>the way,</v>
<v Speaker 1>didn't discover,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>paved the way to colonization of the </v>
<v Speaker 1>Americas,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>to the Darwin trip,</v>
<v Speaker 1>the voyage of the Beagle.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Whilst this planet has gone,</v>
<v Speaker 1>cycling on according to the fixed law of</v>
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<v Speaker 1>gravity from so simple,</v>
<v Speaker 1>a beginning,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>endless forms most beautiful and most </v>
<v Speaker 1>wonderful have been and are being </v>
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<v Speaker 1>evolved to the first venture into space </v>
<v Speaker 1>by Urunga,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Guardian,</v>
<v Speaker 1>first human in space in 1961.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>What he said over the radio is,</v>
<v Speaker 1>the earth is blue.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>It is amazing this.</v>
<v Speaker 1>These are the words that I think drive </v>
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<v Speaker 1>our exploration in the sciences and the </v>
<v Speaker 1>engineering and today in ai from the </v>
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<v Speaker 1>first walk on the moon and now the </v>
<v Speaker 1>desire to colonize Mars and beyond.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>That's where I see this desire to create</v>
<v Speaker 1>intelligence systems,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>talking about the positive and negative </v>
<v Speaker 1>impact of ai on society.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Talking about the business case so the </v>
<v Speaker 1>jobs lost,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>jobs gained,</v>
<v Speaker 1>jobs,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>created diseases cured the autonomous </v>
<v Speaker 1>vehicles,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>the ethical questions,</v>
<v Speaker 1>the safety of autonomous weapons,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>of the misuse of ai in the financial </v>
<v Speaker 1>markets.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Underneath it all,</v>
<v Speaker 1>and there are people,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>many people have spoken about this.</v>
<v Speaker 1>What drives myself and many in the </v>
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<v Speaker 1>community is a desire to explore,</v>
<v Speaker 1>to uncover the mystery of the universe </v>
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<v Speaker 1>and that hope that you join me in that </v>
<v Speaker 1>very effort with speakers that come here</v>
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<v Speaker 1>in the next two weeks and beyond.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>The website for the course is Agi that </v>
<v Speaker 1>mit did you.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>I am a part of an amazing team,</v>
<v Speaker 1>many of whom you know Agi at Mit.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>That edu is the email.</v>
<v Speaker 1>We're on slack.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Deep Dash Mit does slack up for </v>
<v Speaker 1>registered at Mit students.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>It created account on the website and </v>
<v Speaker 1>submit five new links and vote on 10 to </v>
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<v Speaker 1>vote Ai,</v>
<v Speaker 1>which is an aggregator of information </v>
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<v Speaker 1>and material we've put together for the </v>
<v Speaker 1>topic of Agi and submit a entry to one </v>
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<v Speaker 1>of the competitions,</v>
<v Speaker 1>one of the three competitions projects </v>
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<v Speaker 1>that we have in this course and the </v>
<v Speaker 1>projects are dream vision.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>I'll go over them in a little bit.</v>
<v Speaker 1>Dream Vision,</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Angele ethical car,</v>
<v Speaker 1>and the aggregator of material.</v>
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<v Speaker 1>Vote Ai.</v>
<v Speaker 1>We have guest speakers,</v>
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