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fix typos
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wmentrekin committed Oct 29, 2020
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Expand Up @@ -166,6 +166,7 @@ <h2>Win Probabilities & Expected Electoral Votes</h2>
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<h1>Insights</h1>

<section>
<p>
The first interesting result that I noted while getting the first results of this model were how some states have very slim projected margins
Expand All @@ -185,7 +186,7 @@ <h1>Insights</h1>
but rather to project the chances of victory and vote shares in each state. Nonetheless, Joe Biden wins in almost every scenario. I believe that my model's victory chances don't necessarily represent an accurate number,
but that they do reflect the narrow path to victory for the incumbent president. While Joe Biden has many paths to the presidency (winning in the Rust Belt, the South, or the Southwest), Trump's chance rely heavily on repeating as closely his
victory in 2016, which relied heavily on slim margins in key states. While this model gives the president decent chances in states he needs to win, such as Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Florida,
there are not many scenarios where my model has him winning all of enough of them to secure a victory. It shows that Biden can win either by close margins or in a landslide, but that if Trump wins, it will be a narrow victory.
there are not many scenarios where my model has him winning all or enough of them to secure a victory. It shows that Biden can win either by close margins or in a landslide, but that if Trump wins, it will be a narrow victory.
My model, regardless of how accurate it turns out to be, shows that this election is not unlike 2016, in that this is the Democrats' election to lose and that Donald Trump needs to perform in a very specific way to win another term.
Overall, most of the simulations project Joe Biden winning with around 310-340 electoral votes to Donald Trump's 200-230 electoral votes.
</p>
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